ed. note: "Interested Parties" memos
from the campaigns provide glimpses into state of the
race, but readers should "take them with a grain of
salt" as frequently aim to drive the narrative rather
than representing the actual state of affairs!
Harris
MemosDonald J. Trump for President 2024 Campaign Memos
July-September 2024
Sept. 3, 2024 - President Trump has the
Momentum in this Race
Aug. 24, 2024 - Harris' Likely Post-DNC Bounce
Aug. 23, 2024 - What RFK Jr.'s Exit and
Endorsement Means
July 23, 2024 - The Harris Honeymoon
July 22, 2024 - State of Play Day 1
Donald J. Trump for President 2024, Inc.
September 3, 2024
Trump Campaign Memo: President Trump has the Momentum in this Race
MEMORANDUM
TO: Interested Parties
FROM: Chris LaCivita and Susie Wiles
Donald J. Trump for President 2024
DATE: September 3, 2024
RE: President Trump has the Momentum in this Race.
Three weeks ago, the Democrat’s newly crowned nominee — Kamala Harris — was leading in Nate Silver’s Electoral College modeling. The forecast has since inversed in President Trump’s favor.
The state of the race is clear: with just nine weeks until the most consequential election in American history, the Trump-Vance Campaign has the momentum.
Do the Democrats and voters realize this? Or does the mainstream media, in its attempt to manage public opinion and continue the “Harris Honeymoon,” report a version of reality that is at odds with the facts?
Consider this: Kamala Harris has been the Democrat nominee for 44 days and still has not done a solo interview or press conference.
Kamala Harris has built-in defenders on national TV who routinely defend her with glowing headlines, made-for-TV segments, and little scrutiny. Nearly 90% of the Dominant Media's coverage of President Trump has been negative. It’s not just a statistic; it is reality.
Most recently, the media is running cover for Kamala as she shamefully attacks Gold Star Families who invited President Trump to a wreath-laying in honor of their children. You would think the Administration would spend as much time holding themselves accountable for the death of 13 heroes than launch manufactured attacks. Let’s not forget Kamala Harris was “the last person in the room” at the time of the botched withdrawal.
Despite the bias, if the election were held today, Donald Trump would be reelected. President Trump will continue to outline his winning agenda this week at The Economic Club of New York and the Fraternal Order of Police Conference in North Carolina.
Kamala, on the other hand, has stalled and received no boost from the Democratic Convention. This headline from ABC’s poll says it all: “Harris doesn't get convention bounce.”
Despite her efforts to “reintroduce herself,” it is abundantly clear after her softball interview with Dana Bash that Kamala is the same Radical Left lunatic she has always been. She still believes in mass amnesty, ending cash bail, banning fracking, abolishing private health insurance, and banning gas-powered vehicles. Take it from her when she says, “My values haven’t changed.”
Nothing says charting “a new way forward” like campaigning with Joe Biden on Labor Day to remind voters how much more everything costs under Bidenomics.
Kamala’s campaign recognizes the Trump Campaign’s attacks on her record are resonating. They are now reacting by running massive quantities of TV ads to fraudulently rebrand Kamala as tough on crime and immigration.
Several media-sponsored polls show that compared to 2020 exit polls, President Trump is outperforming with Blacks, Hispanics and even younger voters (18-34) so far in 2024. Now, the Harris campaign is spending millions of dollars on targeted TV and radio advertisements to stem the loss of black support in battleground states.
Everything that Kamala and her campaign do is marred by error. When Kamala Harris ventured out to unveil a “new” policy for the first time, it was President Trump’s previously announced “No Tax on Tips” policy.
In what was billed as a policy address, Kamala endorsed a failed policy of the 1970s: price controls on almost every facet of the American economy.
Then, Kamala’s campaign announced the most significant policy pronouncement that American voters have yet to hear and deserves more attention: a $5 trillion tax increase over a decade.
Kamala Harris cannot escape her failed record, so the Harris-Biden Administration is now rewriting it.
The “positive” job numbers from the spring were fabricated. Biden even admitted that most of the jobs they claim to have “created” during their Administration were returning TRUMP JOBS.
The increases in retail spending? Another lie and another revision.
And the Harris-Biden Administration quietly reported nearly 300,000 children who came unaccompanied across the southern border are missing.
Unlike Kamala and Walz, President Trump and Senator Vance will directly engage the voters, take tough questions from the traditional press, and reach different audiences through new forms of independent media.
President Trump and Senator Vance will build a unity party, backed by the support of Brian Kemp, and endorsements from Tulsi Gabbard and Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. The American Dynasty Democrat political family is siding with a member of the Grand Old Party.
President Trump and his growing team of American patriots remain focused and will spend the next nine weeks traveling the country — bringing hope and the promise of endless opportunity to an America in decline.
We hope it’s only a matter of time before the public — through the Trump Campaign, millions of citizen journalists, and alternate media — breaks through and hears the real Kamala Harris record.
The American people deserve no less.
Read the full memo here.
Donald J. Trump for President 2024, Inc.
August 24, 2024
Trump Campaign Memo on Harris' Likely Post-DNC Bounce
CONFIDENTIAL MEMORANDUM
TO: TEAM TRUMPFROM: TONY FABRIZIO & TRAVIS TUNIS
RE: HARRIS’ LIKELY POST-DNC BOUNCE
DATE: AUGUST 22, 2024
When Kamala Harris entered the race, we predicted that she would get a bump in the polls, aka the “Harris Honeymoon”. We said, “The honeymoon will be a manifestation of the wall-to-wall coverage Harris receives from the MSM. The coverage will be largely positive and will certainly energize Democrats and some other parts of their coalition at least in the short term.”
We’ve certainly had a front row seat to the “honeymoon.” In fact, the Media decided to extend the honeymoon for over 4 weeks now. The respected Media Research Center recently released an analysis of the media coverage of Kamala Harris and President Trump since Joe Biden dropped out. Their study found that 84% of the coverage of Kamala Harris was positive while 89% of the coverage of President Trump was negative. But even after all the fawning coverage of Harris and negative coverage of President Trump, we find this race fundamentally tied, particularly in the battleground states going into the DNC.
However, post-DNC we will likely see another small (albeit temporary) bounce for Harris in the public polls. Post-Convention bounces are a phenomenon that happens after most party conventions. In 2016, President Trump and Hillary Clinton both got an average 2-point bump after their conventions. Back in 1992, Bill Clinton got an 8-point bounce, while that same year, George H.W. Bush got a 5-point bounce. While they vary, the usual range is somewhere between 1 and 4 points according to a report by 538.
So don’t be surprised to see Harris get a temporary 2 to 3 point bump.
But when you see this bounce remember that in 1988, Gallup had Michael Dukakis up 17 on then-Vice President Bush in the immediate aftermath of the DNC. Most polls had John McCain up 2 to 4 points on Barack Obama in 2008 the week after the RNC. In 2016, Hillary Clinton was up 7-points on President Trump after her convention in the RCP average. We all know how those ended up. These bumps do not last.
The other thing to keep in mind is that while the media is going to focus on the national polls, we need to keep our eye on the ball – that is the polling in our target states. Our goal is to get to 270 and winning these states is how we do it. We’ll let the media make mountains out of molehills, while we keep driving forward, sticking to our winning plan of getting President Trump re-elected.
Read the full memo here.
Donald J. Trump for President 2024, Inc.
August 23, 2024
Trump Campaign Memo on What RFK Jr.'s Exit and Endorsement Means
CONFIDENTIAL MEMORANDUM
TO: TEAM TRUMP
FROM: TONY FABRIZIO
RE: WHAT RFK JR.’S EXIT AND ENDORSEMENT MEANS
DATE: AUGUST 23, 2024
With the exit of RFK Jr. from the race and his endorsement of President Trump, there will undoubtedly be a great deal of speculation of what it means and who it will help. I’ve seen the Harris folks already trying to spin that it won’t impact the race.
Well, the data speaks for itself. The table below is from our most recent round of battleground state surveys. As you can clearly see, in every single state RFK Jr.’s vote breaks for President Trump.
Kennedy Vote Share by State and How
They Vote in the Head to Head Ballot:
To put these numbers into perspective, the net vote gained in a state like Arizona based on just a 2020 turnout model would be over 41,000 votes nearly 4 times Biden’s winning margin or in Georgia the net gain would be over 19,000 votes nearly twice Biden’s margin.
So, when you hear or see the Harris team and/or the Democrats try and spin otherwise, now that the data clearly paints a different picture. This is good news for President Trump and his campaign – plain and simple.
Read the full memo here.
Donald J. Trump for President 2024, Inc.
July 23, 2024
FROM: TONY FABRIZIO
RE: THE HARRIS HONEYMOON
DATE: JULY 23, 2024
Many of you have heard me refer to the upcoming "Harris Honeymoon" that I expect to see in the public polling over the next couple of weeks. As l've explained, the honeymoon will be a manifestation of the wall-to-wall coverage Harris receives from the MSM. The coverage will be largely positive and will certainly energize Democrats and sorne other parts of their coalition at least in the short term.
That means we will start to see public polling—particularly national public polls—where Harris is gaining on or even leading President Trump. Obviously, the situation we find ourselves in today is totally uncharted territory and has no modern historical parallel. But there are some things that haven't changed. Due to the events of the past two weeks including our highly successful Convention, President Trump has seen a bump in his numbers in a number of recent public polls. Not surprising given that most candidates historically receive some type of bump.
Given what has happened over the past couple of days and her impending VP choice, there is no question that Harris will get her bump earlier than the Democrat's Convention. And that bump is likely to start showing itself over the next few days and will last a while until the race settles back down.
The Democrats and the MSM will try and tout these polis as proof that the race has changed. But the fundamentals of the race stay the same. The Democrats deposing one Nominee for another does NOT change voters discontent over the economy, infl ation, crime, the open border, housing costs not to mentían concern over two foreign wars. Befare long, Harris' "honeymoon" will end and voters will refocus on her role as Biden's partner and co-pilot. As importantly, voters will also learn about Harris' dangerously liberal record befare becoming Biden's partner in creating historie inflation (she cast the deciding vote on the IRA), flood of illegal immigrants at our southern border (she is Biden's Border Czar), and migrant crime that is threatening our families and communities (she set illegals free who went on to commit violent crime as DA).
So, while the public polis may change in the short run and she may consolidate a bit more of the Democrat base, Harris can't change who she is or what she' done. Stay tuned ...
Donald J. Trump for President 2024, Inc.
July 22, 2024
MEMORANDUM
TO: Interested Parties
FROM: Chris LaCivita and Susie Wiles
Donald J. Trump for President 2024
DATE: July 22, 2024
RE: State of Play Day 1
![]()
The latest HarrisX/Forbes poll shows President
Trump with a 9 point lead over Kamala.
Democrat polling released just today, has President Trump over 50 and leading by 6 in Pennsylvania, over 50 and leading by 8 in Arizona, up 2 in Michigan and up 1 in Wisconsin.
Lets also not forget, the Biden campaign has spent in excess of $150 million, money they can’t get back.
Same year — same people — same record of failure — same result.
The same people who had the following plans:
The liberal elite and deep state — sensing the American public’s disgust with their lawfare, and now in a desperate Hail Mary — have swapped out an incumbent President for the incumbent Vice President in a ploy to try and shake up the race.
The problem for the left and media elite? Kamala Harris is as bad, if not worse, than Joe Biden.
Border Czar Kamala Harris owns the border invasion, which has resulted in nearly 100 terrorists roaming the United States, hundreds of thousands of American dead due to Fentanyl, a child trafficking epidemic resulting in killings and kidnappings, a spread of a new type of crime, a crime directly linked to Harris’ own beliefs, and backed by her actions, released migrants who prey and kill innocent Americans.
How do you deal with such heinous beliefs?
Aggressively, in detail, and without quarter.
The left and deep state have pulled out all the stops in their maniacal attempts to retain power.
This is a new fight for American Independence:
This “War on Democracy” — will be stopped by the man who took a bullet for Democracy.
Read the full memo here.
July 23, 2024
CONFIDENTIAL MEMORANDUM
TO: TEAM TRUMP
FROM: TONY FABRIZIO
RE: THE HARRIS HONEYMOON
DATE: JULY 23, 2024
Many of you have heard me refer to the upcoming "Harris Honeymoon" that I expect to see in the public polling over the next couple of weeks. As l've explained, the honeymoon will be a manifestation of the wall-to-wall coverage Harris receives from the MSM. The coverage will be largely positive and will certainly energize Democrats and sorne other parts of their coalition at least in the short term.
That means we will start to see public polling—particularly national public polls—where Harris is gaining on or even leading President Trump. Obviously, the situation we find ourselves in today is totally uncharted territory and has no modern historical parallel. But there are some things that haven't changed. Due to the events of the past two weeks including our highly successful Convention, President Trump has seen a bump in his numbers in a number of recent public polls. Not surprising given that most candidates historically receive some type of bump.
Given what has happened over the past couple of days and her impending VP choice, there is no question that Harris will get her bump earlier than the Democrat's Convention. And that bump is likely to start showing itself over the next few days and will last a while until the race settles back down.
The Democrats and the MSM will try and tout these polis as proof that the race has changed. But the fundamentals of the race stay the same. The Democrats deposing one Nominee for another does NOT change voters discontent over the economy, infl ation, crime, the open border, housing costs not to mentían concern over two foreign wars. Befare long, Harris' "honeymoon" will end and voters will refocus on her role as Biden's partner and co-pilot. As importantly, voters will also learn about Harris' dangerously liberal record befare becoming Biden's partner in creating historie inflation (she cast the deciding vote on the IRA), flood of illegal immigrants at our southern border (she is Biden's Border Czar), and migrant crime that is threatening our families and communities (she set illegals free who went on to commit violent crime as DA).
So, while the public polis may change in the short run and she may consolidate a bit more of the Democrat base, Harris can't change who she is or what she' done. Stay tuned ...
Donald J. Trump for President 2024, Inc.
July 22, 2024
Memo from the Trump
Campaign on State of Play Day 1
MEMORANDUM
TO: Interested Parties
FROM: Chris LaCivita and Susie Wiles
Donald J. Trump for President 2024
DATE: July 22, 2024
RE: State of Play Day 1
After being thoroughly decimated by President Trump three weeks ago at the debate in Atlanta, Joe Biden was fired. He was fired by Donald Trump. He has now been turned out to pasture, yet the Biden record of Weakness and Failure still stands.
Just as Donald Trump fired Joe Biden, he will demonstrate to the world he can fire Dangerously liberal Kamala as well.
It’s a once-in-a lifetime opportunity to defeat not just one Democrat nominee for president, but two — in the same year!And where does the race stand? In every public poll conducted, battleground and national, Donald Trump leads Kamala Harris by the same — if not more, than Joe Biden.
Democrat polling released just today, has President Trump over 50 and leading by 6 in Pennsylvania, over 50 and leading by 8 in Arizona, up 2 in Michigan and up 1 in Wisconsin.
Lets also not forget, the Biden campaign has spent in excess of $150 million, money they can’t get back.
Same year — same people — same record of failure — same result.
The same people who had the following plans:
- Weaponize the Judicial System to falsely accuse, indict and convict on bogus charges
- Utilize the United States Justice Department as a political tool to indict the former President on 40 manufactured charges relating to the Presidential records — a case that has since been thrown out of court
- Utilize the FBI to stage a raid on the President’s home
- Use the Courts as a vehicle to go after the President’s lifetime of assets
- State Courts led by Democrats in Washington put together attempts to deny ballot access in key states — an attempt defeated and ultimately thrown out by the United States Supreme Court
The liberal elite and deep state — sensing the American public’s disgust with their lawfare, and now in a desperate Hail Mary — have swapped out an incumbent President for the incumbent Vice President in a ploy to try and shake up the race.
The problem for the left and media elite? Kamala Harris is as bad, if not worse, than Joe Biden.
Border Czar Kamala Harris owns the border invasion, which has resulted in nearly 100 terrorists roaming the United States, hundreds of thousands of American dead due to Fentanyl, a child trafficking epidemic resulting in killings and kidnappings, a spread of a new type of crime, a crime directly linked to Harris’ own beliefs, and backed by her actions, released migrants who prey and kill innocent Americans.
How do you deal with such heinous beliefs?
Aggressively, in detail, and without quarter.
The left and deep state have pulled out all the stops in their maniacal attempts to retain power.
This is a new fight for American Independence:
- Independence from the oppressive weight of the Harris inflation tax
- Independence from the War against American Energy and edicts for all electric cars
- Independence that will once again make the United States respected on a world stage
- Independence from an oppressive government hellbent on taking away parental rights
- Independence from a border invasion that risks Social Security, public safety and the rule of law
This “War on Democracy” — will be stopped by the man who took a bullet for Democracy.
Read the full memo here.
Copyright © 2024 Eric M. Appleman/Democracy in
Action. All rights reserved.