| ARIZONA | 11 Electoral Votes |
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| Population
(Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Arizona Secretary of State)
Arizona has: 15 counties. Two largest counties: Maricopa, Pima. Six largest cities: Phoenix, Tucson, Mesa, Chandler, Glendale, Scottsdale. Note: 60.2-percent of registered voters are in Maricopa County. Government
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State of
Arizona Secretary of State AZ Republican Party Arizona
Republic blogs  The Grand Canyon State |
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| Voter registration deadline: Oct.
5 > Oct. 23 > Oct. 15.* Early ballots mail: Oct. 7. In-person early voting starts: Oct. 7. (+) SOS Pre-Election Litigation - Democrats successfully challenged a rule disqualifying mail-in ballots missing signatures and giving voters no opportunity to fix the issue. This gave voters up to five days after the election as was already the case on ballots with signature discrepancies (+). - A lawsuit over the election day receipt deadline for mail ballots, under which ballots received after 7 p.m. on Election Day are rejected irrespective of postmark, resulted in a settlement agreement [PDF]. - Another vote by mail lawsuit came on Aug. 26, 2020 when six members of the Navajo Nation filed a voting rights claim. They pointed out that mail in sparsely populated parts of the state takes a substantially longer time to get to its recipient and sought to ensure that ballots postmarked on Election Day are counted by election officials. The 9th Circuit Court of Appeals rejected the claim in an Oct. 15 ruling (+). * A Oct. 6, 2020 ruling by U.S. District Judge Steven P. Logan extended the voter registration deadline from Oct. 5 to Oct. 23 , but a week later on Oct. 13 the 9th Circuit Court of Appeals pared the extension back to Oct. 15 (+). |
Ballot Access [PDF] - An Aug. 31 lawsuit challenged Kanye West's right to appear on the Arizona ballot as an Independent. On Sept. 4 a Maricopa County Superior Court judge ruled that West would not appear on the ballot. The Arizona Supreme Court upheld the lower court in a Sept. 8 ruling (1, 2, 3, 4, 5). |
Overview: Arizona was one of five
states Biden flipped. The margin was the second
closest after Georgia; certified
results announced Nov. 30 showed Biden won by 10,457
votes (0.30 percentage points), carrying five counties
to ten for Trump. In 2016 Trump had carried the state by 3.54
percentage points. Key demographic groups include Hispanic or Latino, accounting for 31.7% of the state's population, seniors (65 and older) 17.5%, and Native Americans, 5.3%. The high-profile Senate race added to voter interest. Arizona was the first state for which the Biden campaign announced its general election leadership, on June 19. In the Fall, the Trump campaign kept up a fairly steady stream of visits by the principals and surrogates, while the Biden campaign managed just a handful of visits. However, as in other states, the Biden campaign and its allies had a big advantage over Trump and allies in TV ad spending. FOX News' call of Arizona for Biden at around 11:20 p.m. on Election Night earned the network the ire Trump supporters. The margin narrowed considerably as votes were counted but held. Arizona was one of six states where Trump and Republicans challenged the outcome. Trump | Biden General Election Details BALLOT [PDF] POST-ELECTION |
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| Total
eligible registration (Dem.): 1,256,343. Total
ballots cast: 613,355. Turnout 48.82%. |
| Democrats
Biden 268,029 (43.70%), Sanders 200,456 (32.68%)... Total 613,355. Details 80 Delegates: 44 District, 14 At-Large, 9 PLEO, 13 Unpledged. |
Republicans
The Arizona Republican party opted not to hold a presidential primary. |
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| 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 |
| Bush 38.47% |
Clinton 46.52% |
Bush 51.02% |
Bush 54.87% |
McCain 53.64% |
Romney 53.65% |
Trump 48.67% |
and
the details...
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| Voting
Eligible Population*: 4,738,332 VEP Highest Office Turnout Rate: 54.3%. Registration: Rep. 1,239,614 (34.54%) Dem. 1,091,323 (30.41%) Lib. 31,358 (0.87%) Other 1,219,277 (33.98%) Grn. 6,894 (0.19%) ...Total 3,588,466. Voter Registration Deadline: Oct. 10, 2016. Early Voting Begins: Oct. 12, 2016. |
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Overview: Democrats had not
carried Arizona in the presidential race since 1996,
but the Clinton
campaign
made a play for the state, including staff on the
ground, TV ads, and several late visits. The Republican ticket
nonetheless won the state by 91,234 votes (3.54
percentage points), carrying 11 counties to four for
Clinton-Kaine (Apache, Coconino, Pima and Santa
Cruz). With the benefit of hindsight, many pundits
questioned
the Democrats' investment here, saying they should
have focused on top-tier battleground states.
Officials in Maricopa County made improvements after "completely unacceptable" long lines and confusion marked the March 22 presidential primary (+, PDF). General Election Visits [SOS | parties] Clinton | Trump BALLOT [PDF] |
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| Voting Eligible
Population*: 4,360,076. VEP Highest Office Turnout Rate: 52.9%. Registration: Rep. 1,120,992 (35.88%) Dem. 952,931 (30.50%) Lib. 22,086 (0.71%) Other 1,023,603 (32.76%) Grn. 4,863 Am. 237 ...Total 3,124,712. Voter Registration Deadline: Oct. 9, 2012. Early Voting Begins: Oct.11, 2012. |
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2012 Overview The Obama campaign made some noise about Arizona being in play (+), and worked to register voters, but in the end did not fully engage. When the votes were counted the result was similar to in 2008; the Romney/Ryan ticket won with a plurality of 208,422 votes (9.06 percentage points), carrying 11 counties to four for Obama/Biden. General Election Details Obama | (Romney) BALLOT [PDF] |
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| Voting eligible
population*: 4,096,006. VEP Highest Office Turnout Rate: 56.0%. Early voting began Oct. 2, 2008. Early ballots requested: 1,347,428. Early ballots returned: 1,233,333. Early ballots counted: 1,227,267...this is 52.88% of the 2,320,951 ballots cast. Registration: Rep. 1,118,587 (37.44%) Dem. 1,022,252 (34.22%) Lib. 18,153 (0.61%) Other 824,450 (27.60%) Grn. 4,009 ...Total 2,987,451 + |
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2008 Overview Sen. McCain won his home state, although the Obama campaign ran some late ads here. Also of note, Republicans' registration advantage had been reduced from 5.33 percentage points (140,988) in Nov. 2004 to 3.22 percentage points (96,335) in Nov. 2008. (+) Nonetheless the McCain-Palin ticket carried 11 counties to four for Obama-Biden, gaining a plurality of 195,404 votes (8.52 percentage points). Obama/Allies | McCain/Allies | Nader |
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| Voting
Eligible Population*: 3,717,055. VEP Highest Office Turnout Rate: 54.1%. Early voting began Sept. 30, 2004. Early ballots requested: 938,409. Early ballots returned: 839,714. Early ballots counted: 830,455...this is 40.75% of the 2,038,069 ballots cast. Registration: Rep. 1,055,252 (39.92%), Dem. 914,264 (34.59%), Lib. 18,261 (0.69%), Other 655,554 (24.80%) ...Total 2,643,331. |
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2004 Overview Although Arizona was classified as a battleground state, Bush more than doubled his plurality, winning by 210,770 votes (10.47 percentage points). 480,569 more votes were cast in the presidential race in 2004 than in 2000, a 31.4% increase. As in 2000 Bush carried 11 counties including the largest, Maricopa County, while the Democratic ticket won in four counties (Apache and Coconino in the North and Pima and Santa Cruz in the South) (results by county). General Election Details Kerry/Allies | Bush-Cheney '04 |
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| Voting Eligible Population*: 3,357,701. VEP Highest Office Turnout Rate: 45.6%. Arizona had the third lowest turnout as a percentage of voting eligible population after Hawaii and Nevada. Early ballots requested: 643,987. Early ballots counted: 578,215...this is 37.08% of the 1,559,520 ballots cast. Registration: Rep. 942,078 (43.35%) Dem. 830,904 (38.24%) Lib. 12,576 (0.58%) Grn. 3,807 (0.18%) NLP 101 (0.00%) Reform 1,588 (0.07%) Other 382,068 (16.66%) ...Total 2,173,122. |
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2000
Overview In the 1992 and 1996 presidential elections, Arizona ended up as one of the closest states; Bush won by about 30,000 votes or less than 3% in 1992 and Clinton won by about 30,000 votes or less than 3% in 1996. This time around the state went a bit more solidly back into the Republican column as Gov. Bush won with a plurality of 96,311 votes (6.29 percentage points). Libertarian Harry Browne was kept off the ballot in the state where he achieved his strongest 1996 showing because of a conflict that split the state party into two factions. In addition to candidate races, Arizona voters faced 14 propositions on the Nov. 7 ballot. General Election Activity |
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1992 and 1996 General
Elections
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1992
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1996
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