this
page updated Dec. 29, 2018
INTRODUCTION:
THE
BLUE
WAVE
HITS
|
SPECIAL
ELECTIONS
2017-18
|
RUNNING
FOR OTHER
OFFICE | DEFEATED IN PRIMARY
| NOT SEEKING RE-ELECTION | DEFEATED ON
NOV. 6 | NOT RETURNING AS OF OCT.
2018 | PRIMARY DATES
Cycle
|
Before
Election Day
|
Def. in Primary
|
Def. in General
|
Freshman Class
|
After
Election Day
|
Net Gain
|
2006 |
229R, 201D,
1I, 4v
|
2 (1D, 1R)
|
22 (0D, 22R)
|
55 (42D, 13R)
|
234D, 201R
|
31D
|
2008
|
235D,
199R,
1v
|
4 (1D, 3R)
|
19 (5D, 14R)
|
54 (32D, 22R)
|
257D, 178R
|
21D
|
2010 |
255D, 178R, 2v
|
4 (2D, 2R)
|
54 (52D, 2R)
|
96 (8D, 88R)
|
242R, 193D
|
63R
|
2012
|
240R, 190D, 5v
|
13 (7D, 6R)
|
27 (10D,17R)
|
84 (49D, 35R)
|
233R, 200D, 2v
|
6D
|
2014
|
233R, 199D, 3v
|
5 (1D, 4R)
|
14 (11D, 3R)
|
61 (17D, 44R)
|
247R, 188D
|
9R
|
2016 |
246R, 186D, 3v
|
5 (2D, 3R)
|
7 (1D, 6R)
|
55 (27D, 28R)
|
241R, 194D
|
5D
|
2018
|
235R, 193D, 7v
|
4 (2D, 2R)
|
30 (30R, 0D)
|
89 (59D, 29R, 1*)
|
235D, 199R, 1v
|
40D
|
The Blue Wave Hits
Overview:
Democrats
achieved a net gain of 40 seats, their biggest success since
the 1974 election. Cook Political Report's
excellent House
Popular
Vote
Tracker shows that Democratic House
candidates tallied 60.7 million votes (53.4%) compared to 51.0 million
(44.8%) for Republican candidates and 2.0 million for others
(1.7%). The Democratic margin of 8.6% was their biggest since the
post-Watergate election of 1974, and was bigger that the wave elections
of 2006 (D-8.0%), 1994 (R-7.1%) and
2010
(R-6.8%). Thirty incumbent Republicans were defeated, but not a
single Democrat.
Democratic gains
appeared
more modest on Election Night, but
a series of close races were called their way over the next several
weeks. In California, for example, it initially looked like
Republicans might hold on to some of the seats Democrats had targeted,
but as the votes were counted, seat after seat slipped away,
culminating in TJ Cox's win in CA-21. Republicans
lost seven seats including all five Orange County area seats.
The big story in the 2018 elections for the U.S. House was the number
of
women
candidates. Data from the
Center
for
American
Women
and
Politics
(CAWP)
at
Rutgers shows that a record number of women, 476, filed
as
major party candidates for
the U.S. House
(356D,
120R); the previous record was 298 in 2012.
Significantly Democratic women candidates outnumbered Republicans by
almost three to one. Women
candidates enjoyed considerable success in the primaries. CAWP
figures show 235 women won their primaries compared to
231 who lost. Women candidates achieved several big primary
upsets over incumbents. Alexandria
Ocasio-Cortez (D) defeated 10-term Rep. Joe Crowley (NY-14), chairman
of the House Democratic Caucus, in the June 26 primary; Ocasio-Cortez
ran to the left of Crowley. Rep. Mike Capuano (MA-7), another
10-term congressman, lost to Boston City Councilwoman
Ayanna Pressley (D) in the Sept. 4 primary. Earlier, on June
12, state Rep. Katie Arrington (R) defeated veteran Rep. Mark Sanford
(SC-1), who was not sufficiently pro-Trump for voters of the
district (Arrington lost in the general election).
Heading into Election Day, November 6, two hundred and thirty three
(233) major party woman candidates for
U.S. House were on the ballot (181D, 52R)
including 116 challengers (94D, 22R), 46 open seat candidates (33D,
13R) and 71 incumbents (54D, 17R). The freshman class of 89
includes 36 women (35D, 1R). The proportion of women will
increase from an abysmal 19.3% in the 115th Congress to a
still-needs-a-lot-of-work 23.4% in the 116th. Diversity is also
increasing; five new Black congresswomen were elected in 2018: Jahana
Hayes (CT), Lucy McBath (GA), Lauren Underwood (IL), Ayanna Pressley
(MA) and Ilhan Omar (MN) as were five new Latina congresswoman: Debbie
Mucarsel-Powell (FL), Xochitl Torres Small (NM), Alexandria
Ocasio-Cortez (NY), Sylvia Garcia (TX) and Veronica Escobar (TX) (
+).
Other
firsts
include
the
first
Native American women to be elected
(Debra Haaland (NM) and Sharice Davids (KS) and the first Muslim
women. In OK-5 (Oklahoma City), Kendra Horn (D) pulled off an
upset, defeating U.S. Rep. Steve Russell (R). One group that did
not fare well was Republican women; due to retirements and defeats they
will number just 13 in the 116th Congress, down from 23 (
+).
Democratic candidates enjoyed a significant financial advantage.
According to the Center for Responsive Politics'
Open
Secrets 2,897 candidates running for U.S. House raised $1.675
billion and spent $1.616 billion; 1,507 Democrats raised $1.011 billion
and spent $955.4 billion compared to $659.1 billion and $656.0 billion
for 1,217 Republicans. A
USA
Today analysis of Open Secrets data on itemized contributions to
competitive Democratic candidates found that there was a "Trump effect"
in that many of these candidates benefited from out of state
contributions.1 On top of all the money raised and spent by the
candidate committees,
outside groups were key players. In many races outside groups
spent more than the
candidate committees. According to
Open
Secrets, the 2017 special election in GA-06 remains most expensive
House race ever ($82 million), but six races in 2018 came in at over
$30
million (candidate plus outside spending): CA-39, CA-48, WA-08, NY-19
and PA-01 and CA-25.
An interesting
situation occurred in
Pennsylvania where on Jan. 22, 2018 (less than four months before the
primary) the state Supreme Court found that the congressional district
lines violated the Pennsylvania constitution and a new plan had to be
adopted (
+). When the
state legislature and governor failed to submit a plan by Feb. 15, the
Court on Feb. 19 issued a remedial plan under which the 2018
congressional elections are being conducted. On Aug. 27, 2018 a
federal court ruled that North Carolina congressional districts must be
redrawn, but a three judge panel ruled on Sept. 4 that it was too late
to change the boundaries before the November elections.
Re-election prospects of two Republican
congressmen were complicated by indictments—Rep. Chris Collins (NY) on
Aug. 10 for insider trading and
Rep. Duncan Hunter (CA) and his wife on Aug. 21 for misusing campaign
funds. Both remain on the ballot; Collins had announced on Aug.
11 that he would not seek re-election, but New York law made it very
difficult to replace him on the ballot, and on Sept. 17 he reversed
course and said he would actively campaign and serve if
re-elected.
Both were re-elected.
Note.
1. Maureen
Groppe and Christopher Schnaars. "Trump effect: How
out-of-state money fueled Democratic House wins in 2018." USA Today, Dec. 29,
2018.
Links:
DCCC [Organization]
|
NRCC
[Organization]
|
FEC
Key Super PACs:
D -
House Majority PAC
R -
Congressional
Leadership
Fund
U.S. House of
Representatives: Member Data
Special Elections 2017-18
seven
seats
will
be
vacant
to
Nov.
2018:
West Virginia 3 (southern WV incl. Huntington
1,
2)
Rep. Evan Jenkins (R),
first
elected
Nov.
2014, announced on Sept. 27, 2018 that he would resign effective
Sept. 30, 2018 to take
a seat on the state Supreme Court of Appeals. Earlier Jenkins
unsuccessfully sought the U.S. Senate nomination.
Florida 6
(south of Jacksonville including Daytona Beach
1,
2)
Rep. Ron DeSantis (R),
first
elected
Nov.
2012. announced on Sept. 10, 2018 that he was resigning
effective Sept. 1, 2018 to
focus on his campaign for governor.
Pennsylvania 7
(convoluted horseshoe-shaped district between
Philadelphia and Reading
+).
Special election Nov. 6, 2018.
Rep. Patrick Meehan
(R),
first
elected
Nov.
2010, had announced on Jan. 25, 2018 that he would not be
seeking re-election then abruptly
resigned
Apr.
27, 2018.
Pennsylvania
15
(runs from
East of Harrisburg to Allentown area +).
Special election Nov. 6, 2018.
Rep.
Charlie
Dent (R), first
elected Nov. 2004, announced on Sept. 7, 2017 that he would
retire, and then announced on
April 17, 2018 that he would resign in May; he
resigned effective May 12, 2018.
- Michigan
13 (parts of Detroit and suburbs, all in Wayne Co. +)
...Special election primary Aug. 7;
general election Nov. 6, 2018.
- Rep. John Conyers (D), first
elected Nov. 1964, abruptly resigned
effective Dec.
5, 2017
following charges of sexual harrassment. At the time he was 88
years old and the longest current serving member of the House.
- Oklahoma
1
(Tulsa metro area +).
June 26, 2018 primary;
general election Nov. 6, 2018.
On Sept. 2, 2017 President Trump nominated Rep. Jim Bridenstine (R), first
elected Nov. 2012, to be NASA administrator. (Bridenstine
had announced in 2015 that he would not seek another term). The
nomination was controversial and the confirmation process dragged on
for months;
the full Senate finally confirmed him on April 19, 2018 by a 50-49
party line vote. Bridenstine resigned effective April 23, 2018 and
was sworn in as NASA administrator.
- New
York 25 (Rochester +).
June 26, 2018 primary;
general election Nov. 6, 2018.
- Rep. Louise Slaughter (D),
first
elected
Nov.
1986,
died
Mar. 16, 2018.
there have been 10 special
elections since Nov. 2016:
Ohio 12
(north and east of Columbus) ...
Special
election
primary
May
8;
general
election
Aug.
7,
2018.
Rep.
Pat
Tiberi
(R),
first elected
Nov. 2000, announced on Oct. 19,
2017 that he will leave Congress before Jan. 31, 2018 to lead the Ohio
Business Roundtable; resigned
effective
Jan.
16,
2018. State Sen.
Troy
Balderson
(R) emerged from the May 8 primary and defeated Franklin
County Recorder
Danny O'Connor (D)
by less than
one percentage point;
Joe Manchik (G)
was also on the ballot.
- Texas
27 (Gulf Coast from Corpus Christi and area to
Matagorda Co. +)
...Special
election on June 30, 2018.
- Rep. Blake Farenthold
(R), first elected
Nov. 2010, faced sexual harrassment charges; he had planned to
serve out his term but abruptly resigned effective April 6, 2018.
Nine
candidates
are
running
including
the
four
already
competing
for
the
seat
in
the
May
22
runoffs
(Republicans
Bech
Bruun
and
Michael
Cloud
and
Democrats
Raul
"Roy"
Barrera
and
Eric
Holguin).
Michael
Cloud
(R), small businessman who served
for
seven
years
as
chair
of
the
Victoria
County
Republican
Party
won
with
about
54%;
If no candidate had received a majority there
would have been a runoff.
- Arizona
8 (suburbs north and west of Phoenix +)
...Special election primary Feb. 27;
general election Apr. 24, 2018.
- Rep. Trent Franks (R), first elected Nov. 2002,
announced on Dec. 7, 2017 that he would resign effective Jan. 31, 2018;
he cited "discussion of surrogacy with two previous female
subordinates,
making each feel uncomfortable" and was facing an ethics
investigation. On Dec. 8
he changed course and announced he was
resigning that day. Former state legislator Debbie
Lesko
(R) defeated Hiral Tipirneni (D),
a physician.
- Pennsylvania
18 (western PA including south Pittsburgh suburbs +)
...Nominees
chosen
by
party
state
central
committees
at
nominating
conventions
in
Nov.
2017.
Special election
Mar. 13, 2018.
Rep. Tim Murphy (R), first
elected Nov. 2002, resigned effective
Oct.
21,
2017 due
to scandal over affair. Former federal prosecutor and veteran Conor
Lamb
(D)
edged out a win over State Rep. Rick
Saccone (R) (who had been
running for U.S. Senate) by about 700 votes.
- Utah
3
(SE corner extending up towards Salt Lake City) ...Special election Nov. 7, 2017.
Rep. Jason Chaffetz (R), first elected Nov. 2008,
announced
on
May
19
that
he
would
resign
effective
June 30, 2017; he signed to become an analyst with Fox
News.
Mayor of Provo John
Curtis (R)
defeated Kathie Allen (D) and
Jim Bennett (UU) by 58.1% to 25.9% and
9.2%; sworn in on Nov. 13, 2017.
- California
34 (neighborhoods in Central, East and Northeast L.A.) ...Special election June
6, 2017.
Rep. Xavier Becerra (D), first elected Nov. 1992, resigned effective
Jan.
24,
2017;
Gov.
Jerry
Brown
announced
on
Dec.
1,
2016
he
would
appoint
Becerra
as
Attorney
General. Jimmy
Gomez (D) emerged from a
crowded primary and defeated Robert
Lee Ahn (D); sworn in on July 11,
2017.
- Georgia
6
(northern
suburbs of Atlanta)
...April 18, 2017 primary.
Special election June 20, 2017.
Rep. Tom Price (R), first
elected Nov. 2004, was nominated
by
President-elect
Trump
as
HHS
Secretary
and
resigned
effective
Feb.
10,
2017.
Former
Sec.
of
State
and
Senior
VP
at
Komen Karen Handel (R)
defeated former
congressional staffer and small businessman Jon
Ossoff (D) by 51.9% to 48.1%; sworn in on June 26. This was the most expensive U.S. House
race in history.
- South
Carolina
5 (north central including Rock Hill) ...May 16, 2017
GOP runoff. Special
election June 20, 2017.
Rep. Mick Mulvaney (R), first elected Nov. 2010,
nominated by President-elect Trump as OMB
Director and resigned effective
Feb.
16,
2017.
Commercial real estate developer and
state Rep. Ralph Norman (R) defeated
Archie
Parnell
(D),
a
senior
advisor
to
Goldman
Sachs,
by
51.1%
to
47.9%;
sworn
in
on
June
26.
- Montana
AL ...Special
election
May
25,
2017.
Rep. Ryan Zinke (R), first
elected Nov. 2014, was nominated
by President-elect Trump as Interior Secretary and resigned effective Mar. 1, 2017.
Entrepreneur and 2016
gubernatorial nominee Greg
Gianforte
(R) defeated musician Rob
Quist (D) by 50.2% to 44.1%;
sworn in on June 21.
- Kansas
4
(south central including Wichita) ...GOP nominating convention Feb.
9. Special
election
April 11, 2017.
Rep. Mike Pompeo (R), first
elected Nov. 2010, was nominated
by President-elect Trump as CIA director and resigned effective Jan.
23, 2017. State Treasurer
Ron
Estes (R) defeated attorney and veteran James Thompson (D) by
52.2% to 46.0%; sworn in on April 25.
Running
for
Other
Office
(22
-
13R,
9D)
Of the 22 seeking other office 10 succeeded, 6 lost in primaries, 5
lost in the general election, and one remained tbd.
11 for U.S. Senate (8R, 3D) |
R:
McSally
(AZ),
Messer
(IN), Rokita
(IN),
Cramer
(ND),
Renacci
(OH),
Barletta
(PA),
Blackburn
(TN), Jenkins
(WV).
D:
Sinema
(AZ),
Rosen
(NV),
O'Rourke
(TX). |
9
for
Governor
(5R,
4D) |
R:
DeSantis
(FL), Labrador
(ID),
Pearce
(NM), Renacci
(OH),
Noem
(SD), Black
(TN).
D: Polis (CO), Hanabusa (HI),
Walz
(MN),
Lujan
Grisham
(NM). |
1 for
Attorney Gen'l (1D)
|
D: Ellis (MN).
|
1
for
President
|
D:
Delaney
(MD). |
* Renacci
was initially a candidate for Governor but switched to running for U.S.
Senate on Jan. 11, 2018.
June 5, 2018 - Rep. Keith Ellison (D, MN-5 ...eastern
Hennepin
Co.
(Minneapolis)
and
parts
of
Anoka
and
Ramsey
Cos.
1) - first elected Nov. 2006.
Attorney General ...won Aug. 14
primary, elected Nov. 6
Feb. 16, 2018 -
Rep. Kevin Cramer (R-
ND-AL ...
1,
2)
-
first
elected
Nov.
2012.
Senate ...won June 12
primary, elected Nov. 6
Jan. 8, 2018 -
Rep. Ron DeSantis (R,
FL-6 ...south of Jacksonville including Daytona Beach
1,
2)
-
first
elected
Nov.
2012.
Governor
...won
Aug. 28
primary, elected Nov. 6
Nov. 7, 2017 -
Rep. Martha
McSally
(R, AZ-2 ...SE corner of the state including much of Tucson
1,
2)
-
first
elected
Nov.
2014.
reported
running
for
U.S.
Senate.
...won
Aug. 28 primary, defeated Nov. 6
Oct. 5, 2017 -
Rep. Marsha Blackburn
(R, TN-7 ... in the western part of the state between Memphis
and Nashville; from KY in the north to MS and AL in the south
1,
2)
-
first
elected
Nov.
2002.
U.S.
Senate ...won
Aug.
2
primary,
elected
Nov.
6
Sept. 28, 2017 -
Rep. Krysten Sinema
(D, AZ-9 ...parts of Maricopa Co. including Tempe and southern
Phoenix
1,
2)
-
first
elected
Nov.
2012.
U.S.
Senate.
..won
Aug.
28
primary,
elected
Nov.
6
Sept. 1, 2017 -
Rep. Colleen Hanabusa
(D, HI-1 ...Honolulu and area
1,
2)
-
elected
in
a
Nov.
8,
2016
special
election
to
fill
out
the
term
of
Rep.
Mark
Takai
and
sworn
in
on
Nov.
14;
she
was
as
well
elected
to
a
full
term.
She
previously
served
two
terms,
being
elected
in
Nov.
2010
and
2012.
Governor.
...lost
Aug.
11
primary
Aug. 29, 2017 -
Rep. Lou Barletta (R,
PA-11 ...East central Pennsylvania
1,
2)
-
first
elected
Nov.
2010.
U.S.
Senate ...won
May
15
primary,
defeated
Nov.
6
Aug. 8, 2017 -
Rep. Todd Rokita (R,
IN-4 ...West central Indiana from Indianapolis suburbs to
Illinois border
1,
2)
-
first
elected
Nov.
2010.
U.S.
Senate ...lost
May
8
primary
Aug. 2, 2017 -
Rep. Diane Black (R,
TN-6 ...North central TN on the border with KY
1,
2)
-
first
elected
Nov.
2010.
Governor ...lost
Aug.
2
primary
July 28, 2017 -
Rep. John Delaney (D,
MD-6 ...Western MD
1,
2)
-
first
elected
Nov.
2012.
President
July 26, 2017 -
Rep. Luke Messer (R,
IN-6 ...East central and southern Indiana to Ohio border
1,
2)
-
first
elected
Nov.
2012.
U.S.
Senate ...lost
May
8
primary
July 10, 2017 -
Rep. Steve Pearce (R,
NM-2 ...southern half of NM incl. a quarter of Albuquerque -
elected Nov. 2010, previously served three terms, elected in 2002, '04
and '06.
Governor ...uncontested
in
June
5
primary,
defeated
Nov.
6
July 6, 2017 -
Rep. Jacky Rosen (D,
NV-3 ...South of Las Vegas including Henderson
1,
2)
-
first
elected
Nov.
2016.
U.S.
Senate ...won
June
12
primary,
elected
Nov.
6
June 11, 2017 -
Rep. Jared Polis (D,
CO-2 ...North Central; Denver suburbs to Wyoming border
1,
2)
-
first
elected
Nov.
2008.
Governor ...won
June
26
primary,
elected
Nov.
6
May 9, 2017 -
Rep. Raúl Labrador (R,
ID-1 ...western third of the state from Nevada to Canada
1,
2)
-
first
elected
Nov.
2010.
Governor ...lost
May
15
primary
May 8, 2017 -
Rep. Evan Jenkins (R,
WV-3 ...southern WV incl. Huntington
1,
2)
-
first
elected
Nov.
2014.
U.S.
Senate ...lost
May
8
primary
Mar. 29/31, 2017 -
Rep. Beto O'Rouke
(D, TX-16 ...El Paso, the western tip of TX
1,
2)
first
elected
Nov.
2012.
U.S.
Senate ...won
Mar.
6
primary,
defeated
Nov.
6
Mar. 27, 2017 -
Rep. Tim Walz (D, MN-1
...Southern MN from SD in the West to WI in the East
1,
2)
-
first
elected
Nov.
2006.
Governor ...won Aug. 14
primary, elected Nov. 6
Mar. 20, 2017 -
Rep. Jim Renacci (R,
OH-16 ...Akron area and western suburbs of Cleveland
1,
2)
-
first
elected
Nov.
2010.
Governor ...switched
Jan. 11 to run for U.S. Senate
...won
May
8
primary,
defeated
Nov.
6
Dec. 13, 2016 -
Rep. Michelle Lujan
Grisham (D, NM-1 ...central NM incl. much of Albuquerque
1,
2)
-
first
elected
Nov.
2010.
Governor
...won
June
5
primary,
elected
Nov.
6
Nov. 14, 2016 -
Rep. Kristi Noem (R,
SD-AL ...
1,
2)
-
first
elected
Nov.
2010.
Governor ...won
June
5
primary,
elected
Nov.
6
Comparison
to
Recent
Cycles
Cycle
|
|
Running for Sen./
Success
|
Running for Gov./
Success
|
Run Tot./
Success
|
2006 |
|
7 (4D, 2R, 1I)
3 (2D, 0R, 1I)
|
9 (2D, 7R)
3 (1D, 2R)
|
16
(6D, 9R, 1I)
6 (3D, 2R, 1I)
|
2008
|
|
5 (3D, 2R)
2 (2D, 0R)
|
1 (0D, 1R)
0 (0D, 0R)
|
6 (3D, 3R)
2 (2D, 0R)
|
2010 |
|
9 (4D, 5R)
3 (0D, 3R)
|
9 (3D, 6R)
3 (1D, 2R)
|
19
(7D, 12R)
7 (1D, 6R)
|
2012
|
|
11 (6D, 5R)
6 (5D, 1R)
|
2 (1D, 1R)
2 (1D, 1R)
|
13
(7D, 6R)
8 (6D, 2R)
|
2014
|
|
13 (3D, 10R)
7 (1D, 6R)
|
2 (2D, 0R)
0 (0D, 0R)
|
16
(6D, 10R)
7 (1D, 6R)
|
2016 |
|
12 (7D, 5R)
3 (2D, 1R)
|
1 (1D, 0R)
1 (1D, 0R)
|
14
(9D, 5R)
5 (4D, 1R)
|
2018
|
|
11 (3D, 8R)
4 (2D, 2R)
|
9 (4D, 5R)
5 (3D, 2R)
|
22
(9D, 13R)
10 (6D, 4R)
Delaney tbd
|
Notes:
In the chart above,
"Running for..." columns have two rows; the top row
is candidates and
lower row is successful
candidates. These numbers do not include Members who announce for
another office but later decide to end those campaigns and seek to stay
in the House.
"Run total" occasionally includes other offices besides
U.S.
Senate and Governor. In 2010 Adam Putnam (R-FL) ran for
Commissioner of Agriculture and won, in 2011/12 Ron Paul (R-TX) ran for
President, in 2014 Gloria Negrete McLeod
(D-CA) ran for County Supervisor and lost, and in 2016 Janice Hahn
(D-CA) ran for County Supervisor and won. In 2018 Keith
Ellison (D-MN) won in his bid for Attorney General, while John Delaney
(D-MD)'s run for president is ongoing.
Looking at these six cycles, one sees 57 Members ran
for Senate and 24
were successful, while 24 Members ran for Governor and 9 were
successful.
Defeated
in
Primary
(2R,
2D)
Sept. 4, 2018 -
Rep. Michael Capuano (D, MA-7
...half of the City of Boston
1)
-
first
elected
Nov.
1998.
...lost to Boston City Councilwoman
Ayanna Pressley (D)
Jun. 26, 2018 -
Rep. Joe Crowley (D,
NY-14
...eastern Bronx and north-central Queens
1,
2)
-
first
elected
Nov.
1998.
...lost
to
businesswoman
Alexandria
Ocasio-Cortez (D), who emphasized her working class roots and
progressive positions; Crowley also skipped a couple of debates.
Jun. 12, 2018 -
Rep Mark Sanford (R,
SC-1 ...the Lowcountry; Hilton
Head to mid-coastal South Carolina
1,
2)
-
elected
in
May
7,
2013
special
election;
also
served
three
terms
from
1995-2001.
...critic of Trump, lost to state
Rep. Katie Arrington (R)
May 7, 2018 -
Rep. Robert Pittenger
(R, NC-9
...south-central
NC
1,
2)
-
first
elected
Nov.
2012.
...lost to Rev. Mark
Harris (R) in a rematch of 2016.
Not
Seeking Re-election–Retiring
at End of Term (32 - 23R, 9D)*
*in addition there were 4R who had
said they would not be seeking re-election in 2018, but then left
before the end of the term.
More than twice as many Republican
Members as Democrats retired. In addition to Speaker
Paul Ryan (
+), nine of 21
committee chairs were leaving: Frelinghuysen (Appropriations), Black*
(Budget), Hensarling (Financial
Services), Royce (Foreign Affairs), Harper (House Administration),
Goodlatte (Judiciary), Gowdy (Oversight and Government Reform), Smith
(Science, Space and
Technology), and Shuster (Transportation and Infrastructure).
Allegations
of
sexual misconduct prompted several resignations and
retirements.
*Black stepped down as committee chair at the end
of Dec. 2017
to focus on her campaign for governor.
May 28, 2018 -
Rep. Tom Garrett (R,
VA-5 ...large district in the central third of the state running
north to south
1,
2) -
first elected Nov. 2016.
(5th
CD Republican Committee chose Denver Riggleman as the new nominee).
Apr. 11, 2018 -
Rep. Paul Ryan (R,
WI-1 ...SE corner of the state
1,
2)
-
first
elected
Nov.
1998.
Apr. 11, 2018 -
Rep. Dennis Ross (R,
FL-15 ...northern parts of Hillsborough and Polk Counties
1,
2)
-
first
elected
Nov.
2010.
Apr. 2, 2018 -
Rep. Elizabeth Esty
(D, CT-5 ...northwestern CT
1,
2)
-
first
elected
Nov.
2012.
Mar. 25, 2018 -
Rep. Ryan Costello
(R,
PA-6 ...old district: north and west of Philadelphia
1,
2)
-
first
elected
Nov.
2014.
Feb. 19, 2018 -
Rep. Tom Rooney (R,
FL-17 ...central FL, east of Tampa Bay to west of Lake
Okeechobee
1,
2)
-
first
elected
Nov.
2008.
Feb. 9, 2018 -
Rep. Rick Nolan (D,
MN-8 ...Northeast MN including Duluth
1,
2)
-
elected
Nov.
2012;
previously
served
three
terms,
elected
Nov.
1974.
[announced
on
June
4,
runnig
for
lt.
gov.
on
ticket
with
AG
Lori
Swanson]
Jan. 31, 2018 -
Rep. Trey Gowdy (R,
SC-4 ...Greenville/Spartanburg area
1,
2)
-
first
elected
Nov.
2010.
Jan. 31, 2018 -
Rep. Robert Brady (D,
PA-1 ...central and South Philadelphia and parts of Delaware Co.
1,
2)
-
first
elected
in
May
19,
1998
special
election.
Jan. 29, 2018 -
Rep. Rodney
Frelinghuysen (R-11 ... in northern NJ; parts of
Morris, Essex, Sussex and Passaic Counties
1,
2)
-
first
elected
Nov.
1994.
Jan. 25, 2018 - Rep. Patrick
Meehan
(R, PA-7
...convoluted horseshoe-shaped district between
Philadelphia and Reading 1,
2)
-
first
elected
Nov.
2010.
resigned
Apr. 27, 2018
Jan. 10, 2018 -
Rep. Darrell Issa (R,
CA-49 ...northern coastal area of San Diego Co. and a bit of
Orange Co.
1,
2) - first elected Nov. 2000.
Jan. 8, 2018 -
Rep. Ed Royce (R, CA-39
... parts of L.A., Orange and San Bernardino Cos.
1,
2)
-
first
elected
Nov.
1992.
Jan. 4, 2018 -
Rep. Gregg Harper (R,
MS-3 ...south central AL running diagonally from the LA border
in the west to AL border in the east
1,
2)
-
first
elected
Nov.
2008.
Jan. 2, 2018 -
Rep. Bill Shuster (R,
PA-9 ...south central PA
1,
2)
-
first
elected
May
15,
2001
special
election.
Dec. 16, 2017 -
Rep. Ruben Kihuen (D,
NV-4 ...North Las Vegas and southern Nevada except the tip
1,
2)
-
first
elected
Nov.
2016.
Dec. 14, 2017 - Rep. Blake
Farenthold
(R, TX-27 ...Gulf
Coast from Corpus Christi and area to
Matagorda Co. 1,
2)
-
first
elected
Nov.
2010.
resigned Apr. 6, 2018
Dec. 3, 2017 -
Rep. Sander Levin (D,
MI-9 ...parts of Oakland and Macomb Cos.
1,
2)
-
first
elected
Nov.
1982.
Nov. 30, 2017 -
Rep. Joe Barton (R,
TX-6 ...in northeast Texas, just south of Dallas/Fort Worth
1,
2)
-
first
elected
Nov.
1984.
Nov. 28, 2017 -
Rep. Luis Gutiérrez
(D, IL-4 ...custom gerrymandered Hispanic district in Chicago
1,
2)
-
first
elected
Nov.
1992.
Nov. 13, 2017 -
Rep. Gene Green (D,
TX-29 ...curved district in eastern Houston
1,
2)
-
first
elected
Nov.
1992.
Nov. 9, 2017 -
Rep. Bob Goodlatte (R,
VA-6 ...north central bordering WV
1,
2)
-
first
elected
Nov.
1992.
Nov. 7, 2017 -
Rep. Frank LoBiondo
(R, NJ-2 ...southern part of NJ
1,
2)
-
first
elected
Nov.
1994.
Nov. 7, 2017 -
Rep. Ted Poe (R, TX-2
...curved district in western and northern Houston
1,
2)
-
first
elected
Nov.
2004.
Nov. 2, 2017 -
Rep. Lamar Smith (R,
TX-21 ...parts of San Antonio and Austin and an area to the west
1,
2)
-
first
elected
Nov.
1986.
Oct. 31, 2017 -
Rep. Jeb Hensarling
(R, TX-5 ... a bit of Dallas Co. and counties to the south and
east
1,
2)
-
first
elected
Nov.
2002.
Oct. 6, 2017 -
Rep. Carol Shea-Porter
(D, NH-1 ...Southeast NH incl. Greater Manchester and the
Seacoast
1,
2)
-
elected
in
2006
and
2008,
defeated
by
Frank
Guinta
in
2010,
ousted
Guinta
in
2012,
defeated
by
him
in
2014,
and
won
the
seat
back
in
2016.
Sept. 11, 2017 -
Rep. Dave Trott (R,
MI-11 ...Northwest of Detroit
1,
2)
-
first
elected
Nov.
2014.
Sept. 7, 2017 - Rep. Charlie
Dent (R,
PA-15 ...runs from
East of Harrisburg to Allentown area 1,
2)
-
first
elected
Nov.
2004.
announced on
April 17, 2018 that he would resign in May; resigned effective May 11,
2018
Sept. 6, 2017 -
Rep. Dave Reichert
(R, WA-8 ...includes eastern King and Pierce Cos.
1,
2)
-
first
elected
Nov.
2004.
Aug. 9, 2017 -
Rep. Niki Tsongas (D,
MA-3 ...Northeastern and central MA
1,
2)
-
first
elected
Oct.
16,
2007
special
election.
July 31, 2017 -
Rep. John J. (Jimmy)
Duncan (R, TN-2 ... East Tennessee district centered on
Knoxville
1,
2)
-
first
elected
Nov.
8,
1988
special
election.
April 3, 2017 -
Rep. Ileana
Ros-Lehtinen (R, FL-27 ...Miami area including much of the city
of Miami
1,
2)
-
first
elected
Aug.
29,
1989
special
election.
Jan. 25, 2017 -
Rep. Lynn Jenkins (R,
KS-2 ...Eastern part of the state incl. Topeka and Lawrence; not
Kansas City Metro
1,
2)
-
first
elected
Nov.
2008.
Jan. 6, 2017 -
Rep. Sam Johnson (R,
TX-3 ...a compact district north and northeast of Dallas,
encompasses much of Collin Co.
1,
2)
-
first
elected
May
8,
1991
special
election.
2015 - Rep. Jim
Bridenstine (R, OK-1
...Tulsa metro area 1,
2)
-
first
elected
Nov.
2012.
resigned
effective April 23, 2018.
There is a
definitional issue when it comes to retirements. This category
could encompass a number of different possibilities. The
narrowest definition is those who are leaving Congress at the end of
their term and not seeking another elective office (straight
retirements). Next one can add those who are leaving and running
for other offices. Then, broadening the defiinition, there are
those who leave before finishing their term where a special election is
held and the seat filled. Finally, there are those who are those
who are defeated in primaries or die in office (involuntary
retirements). Another indicator to look at is open seats.
Defeated on Nov. 6, 2018 (30R, 0D)
Note that some of these results were not apparent until several
weeks later. For example in CA-21, TJ Cox finally
declared victory on Nov. 28. In UT-4, Rep. Mia Love (R) conceded
on Nov. 26. In ME-2, Rep. Bruce Poliquin (R) finished ahead in
raw votes, but after the state's ranked choice voting was implemented
on Nov. 15 Jared Golden (D) was declared the winner. Poliquin
went to court charging the system was unconstitutional, but a judge
ruled against him on Dec. 14. Gov. Paul LePage (R) only certified
the result on Dec. 28.
Rep. Jeff Denham (CA-10) ...Josh Harder
Rep. David Valadao (CA-21)
...TJ
Cox
Rep. Steve Knight (CA-25)
...Katie
Hill
Rep. Mimi Waters (CA-45)
...Katie
Porter
Rep. Dana Rohrabacher (CA-48)
...Harley
Rouda
Rep. Mike Coffman (CO-6)
...Jason
Crow
Rep. Carlos Curbelo (FL-26)
...Debbie
Mucarsel-Powell
Rep. Karen Handel (GA-6)
...Lucy
McBath
Rep. Peter Roskam (IL-6)
...Sean
Casten
Rep. Randy Hultgren (IL-14)
...Lauren
Underwood
Rep. Rod Blum (IA-1)
...Abby
Finkenauer
Rep. David Young (IA-3)
...Cindy
Axne
Rep. Kevin Yoder (KS-3)
...Sharice
Davids
Rep. Bruce Poliquin (ME-2)
...Jared
Golden
Rep Mike Bishop (MI-8)
...Elissa
Slotkin
Rep. Jason Lewis (MN-2)
...Angie
Craig
Rep. Erik Paulsen (MN-3)
...Dean
Phillips
Rep. Tom MacArthur (NJ-3)
...Andrew
Kim
Rep. Leonard Lance (NJ-7)
...Tom
Malinowski
Rep. Dan Donovan (NY-11)
...Max
Rose
Rep. John Faso (NY-19)
...Antonio
Delgado
Rep. Claudia Tenney (NY-22)
...Anthony
Brindisi
Rep. Steve Russell (OK-5)
...Kendra
Horn
Rep. Keith Rothfus (PA-12)
...Conor
Lamb
Rep. John Culberson (TX-7)
...Lizzie
Pannill
Fletcher
Rep. Pete Sessions (TX-32)
...Colin
Allred
Rep. Mia Love (UT-4)
...Ben
McAdams
Rep. Scott Taylor (VA-2)
...Elaine
Luria
Rep. Dave Brat (VA-7)
...Abigail
Spanberger
Rep. Barbara Comstock (VA-10)
...Jennifer
Wexton